With just weeks to go until the US presidential election, voters will be casting their ballots against a backdrop of growing international turbulence, including escalating conflict in the Middle East, ongoing war in Ukraine, rising tensions with China and economic stagnation in many leading markets. 

Whether the 47th President of the United States is the first woman to hold the role or is a previous incumbent, the impact of many of their decisions will reverberate around the world, with the commodities markets set to feel the effects. How will the more protectionist approach favoured by Donald Trump – including new trade policies and proposed tariffs on China – affect supply chains and commodity prices? How will the potentially more progressive policies favoured by Kamala Harris impact critical minerals? What can we expect from both candidates in their responses to the escalating conflicts and potential new shocks around the world? 

This webinar, hosted by the Financial Times in partnership with Kpler, brought together executives, investors and policy experts from the commodities industry to explore the potential consequences for the global commodities market of a Trump victory compared with a Harris win. It evaluated the ways in which changes in trading policies, alliances and sanctions could impact key commodities sectors. It also examined how both leaders might navigate the fragile global and domestic political environments, and how their decisions could impact commodities in both the short and long term.

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